The Ceasefire Oracle: Why 84% on Polymarket Is a Trap, Not a Prediction
Polymarket says there is an 84% chance the ceasefire holds. The number feels...
Bitcoin
•
LarkBear
•
2026-07-22
#Prediction Market
Prediction Market related articles
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The prediction market is a ledger of fear. On Polymarket, a contract titled...
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The 2.4% Illusion: Why That WTI $110 Prediction Market Number Deserves Zero Trust
The prediction market board shows it: WTI crude oil hitting $110 has a 2.4%...
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Pomptoshi
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2026-07-21
The 63.5% Mirage: What Polymarket's Iran Strike Contract Actually Reveals About Market Efficiency
On-chain data shows the Iran-Gulf strike prediction market hit 63.5% YES at...
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0xKai
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The 30% Probability Gap: On-Chain Data Reveals a Split View on Ukraine's Top Commander
Forensic mode: Activated. The on-chain data says one thing. The headlines say...
ETF
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SamBear
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The Gold-Prediction Paradox: China's Silent Accumulation and What the Chain Reveals
Over the past three months, as gold prices slipped 7%, a single oddity appear...
Finance
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I pulled the chain on Polymarket the second I saw the first reports of US...
Special
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CryptoFox
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France's ISP-Level Ban on Polymarket: The End of Permissionless Prediction Markets?
Parsing the entropy in regulatory state transitions reveals a pattern: each...
ETF
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NeoLion
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2026-07-19
Closure by the Numbers: Decoding the Probability of the Skies Over the Gulf
1. Hook: The Probability Engine Turns Red A cold, hard number shot across my...
Bitcoin
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0xIvy
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The CFTC is investigating a White House teleprompter operator. The accusation...
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Neotoshi
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The tape doesn’t tell the whole story. At 11:55 PM, a trader watches the...
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July 15, 2025. 02:37 UTC. Scanning the mempool for ghosts in the machine, I...
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2026-07-16
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Hook I watched a graph pulse last night—orange lines tracing the final minute...
Bitcoin
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Ivytoshi
•
2026-07-07
Market Prices
| Coin | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
|
BTC
Bitcoin
|
$65,211.5 | +1.10% |
|
ETH
Ethereum
|
$1,960 | +3.84% |
|
SOL
Solana
|
$76.64 | +2.13% |
|
BNB
BNB Chain
|
$573.4 | +0.44% |
|
XRP
XRP Ledger
|
$1.11 | +0.49% |
|
DOGE
Dogecoin
|
$0.0727 | -0.89% |
|
ADA
Cardano
|
$0.1648 | -0.36% |
|
AVAX
Avalanche
|
$6.66 | -0.79% |
|
DOT
Polkadot
|
$0.8083 | -2.27% |
|
LINK
Chainlink
|
$8.77 | +3.87% |
Fear & Greed
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Fear
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202630
04
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Improves data availability sampling efficiency
22
03
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Optimism Unlock
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10
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Raises validator limit and account abstraction
08
04
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Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
15
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Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
28
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92 million ARB released
12
05
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Block reward halving event
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Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
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Polygon
42 Gwei
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0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
Market Cap
All →| # | Coin | Price |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bitcoin
BTC
|
$65,211.5 |
| 1 |
Ethereum
ETH
|
$1,960 |
| 1 |
Solana
SOL
|
$76.64 |
| 1 |
BNB Chain
BNB
|
$573.4 |
| 1 |
XRP Ledger
XRP
|
$1.11 |
| 1 |
Dogecoin
DOGE
|
$0.0727 |
| 1 |
Cardano
ADA
|
$0.1648 |
| 1 |
Avalanche
AVAX
|
$6.66 |
| 1 |
Polkadot
DOT
|
$0.8083 |
| 1 |
Chainlink
LINK
|
$8.77 |
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